TOWARDS A THEORY OF REGIONAL CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE SECURITY AND RESILIENCE 

Маслобоев Андрей Владимирович, доктор технических наук, доцент, ведущий научный сотрудник, Институт информатики и математического моделирования технологических процессов Кольского научного центра РАН (Россия, Мурманская область, г. Апатиты, ул. Ферсмана, 14), E-mail: masloboev@iimm.ru 

004.9, 681.5, 338.24 

DOI

10.21685/2307-4205-2020-4-13 

Background. The work is aimed at modern theory of complex system security development in the context of an integrated methodology design for critical infrastructure security and resilience (CISR) management and CISR research systematization of regional socioeconomic systems. The urgency of the study is conditioned by rising requirements for control operators and means for the purpose of CISR support at the regional level and the need to improve the regional security management system engineered on the basis of situational center network. The objective of research is to develop the theoretical and organizational-technical foundations of CISR management of the region as well as to analyze foreign experience in this field.
Materials and methods. The research is carried out by the example of critical infrastructures of the Murmansk region, which is a part of the Russian Arctic. Three key CISR domains (dimensions) of regional socio-economic systems are considered: technological, organizational and societal resilience. The methodological base of the study includes systems approach, conceptual modeling, and convergence of control theory, reliability theory, risk analysis, safety and stability theory methods.
Results and conclusions. An overview of the state-of-the-art research in the field of CISR management and an analysis of the existing models and methods applicability to problem-solving in this dynamic object domain are carried out. The novel holistic methodology of CISR analysis and management support is proposed. A conceptual model of CISR control system and a technique for resilience assessment of the regional critical objects and infrastructures have been developed.
The application of theoretical developments will in prospect enhance the features of methods and tools used in practice to regional security support within the situational centers of the region, and to specify the information structure and forms of resilience management of the socio-economic systems as well as methods of risk assessment and analysis of the security violation of regional critical infrastructures.

Ключевые слова

resilience, security, risk, critical infrastructure, regional socio-economic system, management, modeling, methodology

 Скачать статью в формате PDF

1. О Стратегии национальной безопасности Российской Федерации : указ Президента РФ № 683 от 31.12.2015. – URL: http://kremlin.ru/acts/bank/40391
2. Ильин, Н. И. Особенности современного этапа создания системы распределенных ситуационных центров в интересах государственного управления Российской Федерации / Н. И. Ильин, Р. М. Юсупов // Информатизация и связь. – 2019. – №. 3. – С. 7–13.
3. Маслобоев, А. В. Модель и технология поддержки принятия решений в условиях сетецентрического управления региональной безопасностью / А. В. Маслобоев // Надежность и качество сложных систем. – 2019. – № 2 (26). – С. 43–59.
4. Pursiainen, C. Critical infrastructure resilience: A Nordic model in the making? / C. Pursiainen // International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. – 2018. – Vol. 27. – P. 632–641.
5. Council Directive 2008/114/EC of 8 December 2008 on the identification and designation of European critical infrastructures and the assessment of the need to improve their protection. – URL: https://eurlex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2008/114/oj
6. CIPedia© – A service of CIPRNet: Critical Infrastructure Protection (CIP) and Critical Infrastructure Resilience (CIR) related issues. – URL: https://websites.fraunhofer.de/CIPedia/index.php/CIPedia%C2%A9_Main_Page
7. Terminology on disaster risk reduction. – URL: https://www.unisdr.org/we/inform/terminology
8. Маслобоев, А. В. Концептуальная модель жизнеспособности критических инфраструктур в контексте современной теории безопасности сложных систем / А. В. Маслобоев, В. В. Быстров // Экономика. Информатика. – 2020. – Т. 47, № 3. – С. 555–572.
9. Holling, C. S. Resilience and stability of ecological systems / C. S. Holling // Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics, – 1973. – № 4 (1). – P. 1–23.
10. Pimm, S. L. The complexity and stability of ecosystems / S. L. Pimm // Nature. – 1984. – № 307 (5949). – P. 321–326.
11. Hosseini, S. A Review of Definitions and Measures of System Resilience / S. Hosseini, K. Barker, J. E. Ramirez-Marequez // Reliability Engineering and System Safety. – 2016. – Vol. 145. – P. 47–61.
12. Francis, R. A metric and frameworks for resilience analysis of engineered and infrastructure systems / R. Francis, B. Bekera // Reliability Engineering and System Safety. – 2014. – Vol. 121. – P. 90–103.
13. Resilience-Oriented Urban Planning. Theoretical and Empirical Insights / ed. by Y. Yamagata, A. Sharifi. – Springer Intl. Publ. – 2018. – Vol. 65. – 228 p.
14. Righi, A. W. A systematic literature review of resilience engineering: Research areas and a research agenda proposal / A. W. Righi, T. A. Saurin, P. Wachs // Reliability Engineering and System Safety. – 2015. – Vol. 141. – P. 142–152.
15. Evaluation of resilience assessment methodologies / B. Rød, et al. // Safety and Reliability, Theory and Applications / ed. by M. Cepin, R. Briš. – Boca Raton : CRC Press, 2017. – P. 1039–1051.
16. Critical Infrastructure Resilience Index / C. Pursiainen, et. al. // Risk, Reliability and Safety: Innovating Theory and Practice / ed. by L. Walls, M. Revie and T. Bedford. – Boca Raton : CRC Press, 2017. – P. 2183–2189.
17. Цыгичко, В. Н. Безопасность критических инфраструктур / В. Н. Цыгичко, Д. С. Черешкин, Г. Л. Смолян. – Москва : Красанд, 2018. – 200 с.
18. Офицеров, А. Концептуальные основы обеспечения комплексной безопасности критически важных объектов / А. Офицеров, О. Басов, С. Бачурин // Экономика. Информатика. – 2020. – Т. 47, № 1. – С. 154–163.
19. Шульц, В. Л. Сценарный анализ в управлении геополитическим информационным противоборством / В. Л. Шульц, В. В. Кульба, А. Б. Шелков, И. В. Чернов. – Москва : Наука, 2015. – 542 с.
20. Aldrich, P. A. Social Capital and Community Resilience / P. A. Aldrich, M. A. Meyer // American Behavioural Scientist. – 2015. – Vol. 59, iss. 2. – P. 254–269.
21. Shishaev, M. Analysis of Online Social Networking When Studying the Identities of Local Communities / M. Shishaev, A. Fedorov, I. Datyev // Digitalization and Human Security. A Multi-Disciplinary Approach to Cybersecurity in the European High North / ed. by M. Salminen, G. Zojer, K. Hossain. – Palgrave Macmillan Publ., 2020. – P. 267–295.
22. Social resilience criteria for critical infrastructures during crises / L. Petersen, et al. // IMPROVER D4.1. – 2016. – URL: https://pauljreillydot.files.wordpress.com/2014/04/improver-d4-1-social-resilience-criteria-for-criticalinfrastructures- during-crises_draft.pdf
23. Labaka, L. Resilience framework for Critical Infrastructures: An Empirical Study in a Nuclear Plant / L. Labaka, J. Hernantes, J. M. Sarriegi // Reliability Engineering and System Safety. – 2015. – Vol. 141. – P. 92–105.
24. Поляк, Б. Т. Робастная устойчивость и управление / Б. Т. Поляк, П. С. Щербаков. – Москва : Наука, 2002. – 303 с.
25. Complex approach to assessing resilience of critical infrastructure elements / D. Rehaka, et al. // International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection. – 2019. – Vol. 25. – P. 125–138.
26. Pursiainen, C. Towards Testing Critical Infrastructure Resilience / C. Pursiainen, P. Gattinesi // Publications Office of the European Union, JRC Scientific and Policy Reports. – 2014. – URL: https://core.ac.uk/download/ pdf/38627770.pdf.
27. Novel methodologies for analyzing critical infrastructure resilience / K. Storesund, et al. // Safety and Reliability – Safe Societies in a Changing World / ed. by S. Haugen, et al. – 2018. – P. 1221–1229.
28. A framework to quantitatively assess and enhance the seismic resilience of communities / M. Bruneau, et al. // Earthquake Spectre. – 2003. – Vol. 19, № 4. – P. 733–752.
29. Flynn, S. E. America the Resilient: Defying Terrorism and Mitigating Natural Disasters / S. E. Flynn // Foreign Affairs. – 2008. – Vol. 83, № 2. – P. 2–8.
30. Zorn, C. R. Post-disaster infrastructure restoration: A comparison of events for future planning / C. R. Zorn, A. Y. Shamseldin // International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. – 2015. – Vol. 13. – P. 158–166.
31. Technological resilience concepts applied to critical infrastructure / D. Honfi, et al. // IMPROVER D3.2. – 2017. – URL: https://ec.europa.eu/research/participants/documents/downloadPublic?documentIds=080166e5b12eb01d&appId= PPGMS
32. Маслобоев, А. В. Информационное измерение региональной безопасности в Арктике / А. В. Маслобоев, В. А. Путилов. – Апатиты : КНЦ РАН, 2016. – 222 с.